For more details on Methodology click here. For more details on terminology click here.
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Last Updated 4th February 2025.
How much funding is the Emergency Telecommunications sector forecast to receive in 2025?
Funding to the Emergency Telecommunications sector is forecast to be between $1m and $3m in 2025. Our central estimate is $2m. For reference, the Emergency Telecommunications sector received $2m last year.
This forecast is based on our 95% probability range. In other words, we are 95% sure that funding will be between $1m and $3m. Below are the other forecast ranges for the Emergency Telecommunications sector. As we become less sure about our forecast, the range narrows. So for example, we think there’s a 50% probability that funding will be between $2m and $3m.
But we need to put this into context. What does the forecast mean in terms of reaching the funding that is required for the sector (also known as the funding requirement)? The total funding requirement globally is determined by how much is needed in each context. If you hover over the donut below you’ll be able to see the chances of reaching 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% of the funding that is required.
Given the low amount of funding that Emergency Telecommunications sector has received in recent years, the odds are against the sector. There is a remote chance that the sector will receive 25% of what is required.
How does the 2025 forecast compare to previous years?
Our forecast shows that Emergency Telecommunications will reach between 5% and 13% of the funding requirement. This is a very low percentage of the funding requirement, and reflects the status of the sector in the last two years when 19% and 10% of the requirement was received in 2023 and 2024, respectively.
Emergency Telecommunications is a sector with a very low amount of funding. The graph above shows that the sector exists within a small range of under $10m. Furthermore, Emergency Telecommunications is only active in 7 emergencies (you can find the full list on the Global Cluster website here).
The fact that the sector is only active in a small number of contexts means that the requirement can fluctuate somewhat depending on whether there are significant requirements in one or two contexts. In 2016 and 2017, the funding requirement stood at $40m and $44m, respectively. Fast forward to 2024, and this had declined to $16m.
The sector has experienced four years of a growing funding gap (what we’re calling a “humanitarian recession”.
And we think that it’s highly unlikely that the sector will close its funding gap this year (real growth). Note: in this story, we’ve defined a real recession as two consecutive years of a growing funding gap.
How does the 2025 forecast compare to other sectors?
Unsurprisingly, with the forecast having a central estimate of $2m for 2025, Emergency Telecommunications is set to be the least funded sector of all in absolute terms. However, the sector is also the sector with the lowest funding requirement, so in context, ranking in 15th is not itself bad. But the table does show how tiny the expected funding is compared to other humanitarian sectors.
Methodology
The usual health warning: FTS doesn’t capture everything. It is a platform that relies on voluntary reporting by organisations. But it is the most comprehensive source of data for humanitarian funding.
For forecast methodology, click here. We’ll be keeping a record of all our forecasts and success over time, which you can find here.
To find out methodology and sources for other things on this page which aren’t the forecast, click here.