For more details on Methodology click here. For more details on terminology click here.
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Last Updated 9th February 2025.
Note: The funding requirement listed below is currently a projected funding requirement which is subject to change.
How much funding is the Logistics Sector forecast to receive in 2025?
Funding to the Logistics sector is forecast to be between $220m and $565m in 2025. Our central estimate is $351m. For reference, the Logistics sector received $322m last year.
This forecast is based on our 95% probability range. In other words, we are 95% sure that funding will be between $220m and $565m. Below are the other forecast ranges for the Logistics sector. As we become less sure about our forecast, the range narrows. So for example, we think there’s a 50% probability that funding will be between $298m and $413m.
But we need to put this into context. What does the forecast mean in terms of reaching the funding that is required for the sector (also known as the funding requirement)? The total funding requirement globally is determined by how much is needed in each context. If you hover over the donut below you’ll be able to see the chances of reaching 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% of the funding that is required.
We think that it is almost certain that Logistics will reach 25% of the requirement in 2025, and a realistic possibility of reaching the next milestone of 50%.
How does the 2025 forecast compare to previous years?
The funding received by the sector has remained relatively stable, but in line with many other sectors, jumped quite a bit in 2022. From 2018 onwards, funding to the sector fluctuated between $195m and $426m, before settling at $322m in 2024.
Funding required to the sector has broadly increased over the past few years, reaching a peak of $637m in 2023.
Our forecast for 2025 shows the sector somewhere in the region of the last years, although with a wide margin currently.
In this story, we’ve defined a ‘real humanitarian recession’ as two consecutive years of a growing funding gap. The sector cannot go into recession as it closed the funding gap last year. Therefore, when looking at 2025, we’re looking at whether the Logistics sector will experience a growing funding gap, or another year of real growth.
We think there’s a 50-50 chance that the sector will grow in 2025 (close the funding gap) versus experience a year of a growing funding gap.
How does the 2025 forecast compare to other sectors?
The Logistics sector is set to be ranked ‘mid-table’ as the 10th most well-funded sector in 2025, and well behind the top tier of humanitarian sectors (i.e. those sectors from Education upwards).
Methodology
The usual health warning: FTS doesn’t capture everything. It is a platform that relies on voluntary reporting by organisations. But it is the most comprehensive source of data for humanitarian funding.
For forecast methodology, click here. We’ll be keeping a record of all our forecasts and success over time, which you can find here.
To find out methodology and sources for other things on this page which aren’t the forecast, click here.