Nutrition

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Last Updated 9th February 2025.

Note: The funding requirement listed below is currently a projected funding requirement which is subject to change.

How much funding is the Nutrition Sector forecast to receive in 2025?

Funding to the Nutrition sector is forecast to be between $1.0bn and $2.6bn in 2025. Our central estimate is $1.6bn. For reference, the Nutrition sector received $1.5bn last year.

This forecast is based on our 95% probability range. In other words, we are 95% sure that funding will be between $1.0bn and $2.6bn. Below are the other forecast ranges for the Nutrition sector. As we become less sure about our forecast, the range narrows. So for example, we think there’s a 50% probability that funding will be between $1.4bn and $1.9bn.

But we need to put this into context. What does the forecast mean in terms of reaching the funding that is required for the sector (also known as the funding requirement)? The total funding requirement globally is determined by how much is needed in each context. If you hover over the donut below you’ll be able to see the chances of reaching 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% of the funding that is required.

We think that it is likely that Nutrition will reach 50% of the requirement in 2025, although only a remote chance of reaching the next milestone of 75%.

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How does the 2025 forecast compare to previous years?

The funding requirement for Nutrition has broadly increased over the past seven years. In the 2018-2020 period, the sector asked for between $1.7bn and $1.9bn. However, during the 2021-2024 period, this peaked at $3.6bn in 2023, before settling at just under $3bn in 2024.

Like the funding requirement, funding received by the sector has also increased over the period. The sector used to receive less than $1bn – as recently as 2020. However, since 2021, the sector has received at least $1bn annually, including $1.5bn in 2024.

We’ve come up with a way of conceptualising a growing funding gap. In this story, we’ve defined a “real humanitarian recession” as two consecutive years of a growing funding gap. Given that the funding gap actually closed in 2024, there isn’t any danger of the sector going into humanitarian recession this year.

However, we give it the sector a roughly 50-50 chance of closing the funding gap versus seeing it widen in 2025.

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How does the 2025 forecast compare to other sectors?

The Nutrition sector is forecast to be the 6th biggest sector in 2023. Nutrition is ranked just below WASH and Shelter – but not by much. But the sector quite will quite easily surpass the funding for Education, which are estimated to receive significantly lower, thus placing Nutrition in the ‘top tier’ of humanitarian sectors.

The sector is adjacent to both Health and Food Security in the work they do. So it shouldn’t be too much of surprise to see how well the sector ranks, as both Food Security and Health are also well funded sectors (compared to others).

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